Funding entity Indra
Participated by ENAGAS
Enagas, the technical operator of the Spanish natural gas system, is in charge of planning the short-term operation of this system to ensure the continuity and quality of natural gas supply at any point in Spain. In order to carry out this coordination and optimisation work for the joint operation of the whole system, Enagas needs short-term forecasts of the natural gas consumptions at different points of the pipeline network.
Conventional demand for natural gas (which includes household, commercial, industrial and cogeneration consumption) is properly forecasted by Enagas using specific tools developed for that purpose. However, during the last decade the demand for electricity generation has gained importance due to the increase of the number of combined cycle power plants. This demand responds to different consumption patterns, requiring a different type of forecasting models.
DELFOS-E is a tool designed for short-term forecasting of the Spanish natural gas consumption of the combined cycle power plants. The developed forecasting models use as input variables, among others, those provided by the Spanish electricity system and market operators.
DELFOS-INDRA-ENAGAS-2010
